But as the hours went by, more and more of the real-time polling-station data upon which the needle was based flowed forth, and the perpetually quivering device began to swing wildly, veering further and further into the red. Additionally, it provided the starting point for the needle-also prominently displayed on -which began the night tilting reassuringly toward the blue end of the forecast dial.įor anyone anxious about the possibility of a Donald Trump presidency, however fantastical it still seemed at that point, looking at the needle was as calming as a hit of Xanax. In the days and hours leading up to the earliest returns, the 85 percent figure was featured heavily in Times news coverage and on the home page. That prediction was based on the Times’s internal aggregation of all the credible polls heading into the homestretch of the race. On November 8, 2016, the Times’s pre-election data initially showed Hillary Clinton with an 85 percent chance of victory. Clinton, is a symbol of the speed with which political hopes can be upended, as well as the maddening uncertainty of polling-and liberals are still deeply haunted by it. “TOO SCARY EMILY,” agreed journalist Lauren Duca. “That’s gonna trigger Brooklyn,” CNN’s Jake Tapper replied.
On a large piece of white cardboard dangling from her neck with string, Nussbaum had drawn a picture of The New York Times’s election needle, an interactive feature that famously traumatized Times readers. It was right before Halloween, with Election Day a little more than a week away, and Emily Nussbaum, The New Yorker’s television critic, “made the scariest costume I could think of,” she tweeted.
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